FINANCIAL PROJECTION

Scaling From Pilot to Platform

(Illustrative growth model – network driven)


Growth Assumptions

  • Scaling distributed micro-farm network
  • Shift from hardware → recurring platform revenue
  • Increasing operating leverage with scale
  • Platform & service margins dominate over time

5-Year Projection

YearActive SystemsRevenue (€)Recurring ShareEBITDAValuation Logic
Y1500.25 M15%negativePilot / validation
Y22501.2 M28%-0.2 MEarly growth
Y31,0004.8 M45%0.6 MScaling phase
Y43,00013.5 M60%3.8 MPlatform economics begin
Y58,00032 M70%11.5 MInfrastructure / platform valuation

Economic Dynamics

As the network grows:

  • Hardware cost per unit ↓
  • Platform revenue ↑
  • Margins ↑
  • Customer lock-in ↑
  • Data advantage ↑

Operating leverage emerges strongly after ~1,000 systems


Target Financial Structure (Scale Phase)

  • Gross margin: 55–70%
  • Recurring revenue: >60%
  • Platform-driven EBITDA growth
  • Capex intensity declining over time

Valuation Logic

StageTypical Logic
EarlyTechnology / system value
GrowthRevenue multiple
ScalePlatform / infrastructure multiple

Platform-stage companies with recurring revenue and network effects typically command significantly higher valuation multiples than hardware-driven businesses.


Investor Outcome Logic

Return driven by:

  • Recurring revenue scaling
  • Network expansion
  • Platform valuation shift
  • Strategic exit or long-term yield